Afghanistan’s Historic T20 World Cup Semi-Final Quest: Can they make it to the penultimate clash?

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Harbhajan Singh

The ongoing T20 World Cup has witnessed thrilling matches and unexpected twists. Among the standout stories is Afghanistan’s remarkable journey. Afghanistan’s stunning victory over Australia by 21 runs shook up Group 1. Suddenly, they find themselves in contention for a spot in the semi-finals—a monumental feat for Afghan cricket.

Leading the group with 4 points and an impressive Net Run Rate (NRR) of +2.430. Second with 2 points and an NRR of +0.223. Also at 2 points, but with an NRR of -0.650. Bangladesh are yet to secure a win.

Qualification Scenarios for Afghanistan

Afghans defeat Bangladesh: If Afghanistan beats Bangladesh, they enhance their chances. They need India to defeat Australia or hope for a match washout (weather reports in St. Lucia are concerning). Ideally, Afghanistan should win by a margin greater than Australia’s victory over India (around 35 runs more).

Afghans lose to Bangladesh: A narrow loss is crucial to protect their NRR. They rely on India thrashing Australia (Australia’s NRR must take a hit).

The Afghans vs. Bangladesh match is washed out: Afghans will have 3 points. They still need India to beat Australia for semi-final progression. Even if India vs. Australia is washed out, Afghans won’t progress due to the unchanged NRR.

Afghans play their game after India vs. Australia, knowing what’s required. India holds the key.

To knock India out, both Australia and Afghanistan must win by significant margins:

Australia needs to beat India by 41 runs. Afghans must defeat Bangladesh by at least 83 runs. Afghanistan aims for glory, while Australia faces uncertainty.

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